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It is pretty clear that this WDC is over, talking in practical terms. SV has a gap with 77 points to FA with 5 races to go, it correlates with a 34.4 points gap in ONE race. In terms of probabilities it is hugely difficult to overcome.
Alonso has said that WDC title is basically gone and that he is going to focus on the Constructor's title. No a great idea because the situation is not very different:
Red Bull 402
Ferrari 284
Mercedes 283
Gap 118 points for 5 races to go, it implies a 52.8 points gap in one race. Maximum points in one race are 43. Mathematically it is feasible, but completely unlikely, I'd say less than 1% of probability.
So, both titles are almost closed already. The only thing remaining to be decided are the runner-up positions.
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