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5 Jun 2004, 10:12 (Ref:994570) | #1 | ||
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My LM predictions
Hi. I thought I would go ahead and stick my neck out here, and offer my predictions for this LM 24h. For those of you who don't know, I am Driver and Business Development Manager for Graham Nash Motorsport as well as running my own GT/Sports car Driver Management business.
Overall win: 1. Audi Veloqx number 8 LMP1 2. Audi Veloqx number 88 LMP1 3. Audi sport Goh number 5 LMP1 Other clases: 1. Courage Epsilon number 35 LMP2 (this is my driver's car!) 2. Courage Belmondo number 37 LMP2 3. Welter WR01 number 24 LMP2 1. Corvette Racing number 63 GTS 2. Prodrive Ferrari number 66 GTS 3. Corvette Racing number 64 GTS 1. Freisinger Porsche number 85 GT 2. Petersen Porsche number 90 GT 3. Perrier Porsche number 75 GT Overall top 15 predciction (this is really sticking my neck out!): 1. Audi 8 2. Audi 88 3. Audi 5 4. Pescarolo 17 5. Corvette 63 6. Champion 2 7. RFH 15 8. Zytek 22 (this is my only concern-whether it will last..) 9. Prodrive 66 10. Courage 35 11. Porsche 85 12. Dallara 6 13. Del Bello 29 14. Porsche 90 15. Porsche 75 So there u have it! Let me know your thoughts and predictions too. I have compiled this down to their LM experience, knowing what a lot of the drivers/teams are capable of, and of course my own 15 year knowledge of the race itself. lat year i got the top 7 right, so who knows! cheers! |
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5 Jun 2004, 11:47 (Ref:994624) | #2 | ||
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Andy, gives us your prediction for number of laps for the winning car and we'll add you into the overall predictions thread.
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280 days...... |
5 Jun 2004, 13:00 (Ref:994660) | #3 | ||
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ok here goes
winner - 375 laps second - 374 laps third - 372 laps this is probably the hardest thing to predict thanks to fuel economy, safety car laps etc etc.. |
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5 Jun 2004, 15:56 (Ref:994758) | #4 | ||
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OK, the data are recorded !
I cannot see a GTS in the top five/ten with a dry race. And I'll be really glad to see Pescarolo to be "best of the race" again after 2000' race, but I doubt of it. Zytech and RFH should be faster. We could have a surprise with the Kondo Dome too, not talking about the Dallara ! |
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5 Jun 2004, 16:18 (Ref:994771) | #5 | ||
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To FAB
Thanks for your input. I can undestand your view. I think that Pesca has been trying for a long time and this may well be his year for a better finish. The 17 car has a very promising driver line-up. The Vettes I think wil lbe blisteringly fast - its rare to see them spending long periods in the Pits so this is why I think they could spark a surprise at LM. The attrition rate will be high this year with less finishers i think. There are only a handful of really top LMP1's that could take a top 10 slot, leaving room for other classes, in partciular GTS and GT, to take higher placings. But anything can happen at La Sarthe, and occasionally it does. Remember 2001 with the awful rain? My car (54 Viper) actually led the race outright in the rain-who would have predicted that? Let's hope for a safe race for everyone anyway. |
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5 Jun 2004, 18:08 (Ref:994816) | #6 | ||
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I cannot find a Viper with the #54 at the start in 2001... which one was it ?
The GTS for the overall is a debate we regulary have here... one of our members (SaleenS7R) even placed a Vette in the top three overall. I think threy're not far from the top, but there's still a serious gap with LMP900, and to many of those ones to let enough place to GTS, except very special weather or a catastrophical wreck. Those debates show how open is the race this year, at least for "the rest"... somethig else than an Audi on the podium could be a miracle. But there already were miracles in the past at LM ! |
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5 Jun 2004, 18:29 (Ref:994833) | #7 | ||
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yes - apologies it was number Belmondo 56 Viper - my driver Anthony Kumpen lead the race for a very short time near to midnight, We were very fast in the wet, passing prototypes with ease as the Viper, to any good driver, is an awesome car in these conditions. As AK lead his sister car driven by Vanina Ickx crashed out. AK stopped for fuel and then re-started, but crashed the car on full tanks at Indianappolis i think.
cheers |
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7 Jun 2004, 09:27 (Ref:995941) | #8 | ||
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I don't mean to pour water over the idea, but a Viper definitely didn't lead overall at Le Mans in 2001, certainly not as late as midnight anyway. The #56 Viper was out after 44 laps due to an accident.
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7 Jun 2004, 09:50 (Ref:995965) | #9 | ||
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Yes, I was surprised by this strange place at the overall... the only non-Audi mentionned at the lead were the Bentley, and a Panoz for one lap during the shower...
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7 Jun 2004, 13:06 (Ref:996144) | #10 | |
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maybe in the gt2 class? or whatever it was called back then.
Last edited by kdr; 7 Jun 2004 at 13:06. |
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7 Jun 2004, 13:41 (Ref:996188) | #11 | ||
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It was GTS... but I don't think a Viper did lead the Vettes in 2001...
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7 Jun 2004, 13:54 (Ref:996201) | #12 | ||
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Check the "after two hours" standings:
http://www.motorsport.com/news/artic...FS=ALMS-LEMANS Code:
19 55 VOSSE, ICKX, ROSENBLAD GTS CHRYSLER VIPER GTS-R 25 20 64 PILGRIM, COLLINS, FREON GTS CORVETTE C5-R 25 21 62 MOWLEM, McKELLAR, LAMBERT GTS SALEEN S7-R 25 22 11 GRAF, DAVIES, FORMATO P900 PANOZ LMP07 24 23 63 FELLOWS, PRUETT, O'CONNELL GTS CORVETTE C5-R 24 |
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7 Jun 2004, 14:01 (Ref:996210) | #13 | ||
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So Andy is right ! That was a good shot indeed for this Viper, I didn't realize that (even my bones were wet at this time)... sorry for that Andy ! And thank you Paul !
And the car was even leading an Audi (the Gulf one) ! Last edited by Fab; 7 Jun 2004 at 14:03. |
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7 Jun 2004, 14:03 (Ref:996217) | #14 | ||
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Here's the page that has all the hourly updates:
http://www.motorsport.com/news/serie...S&Y=2001&O=250 |
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... Since all men live in darkness, who believes something is not a test of whether it is true or false. I have spent years trying to get people to ask simple questions: What is the evidence, and what does it mean? -Bill James |
7 Jun 2004, 14:07 (Ref:996227) | #15 | ||
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The best rank was 17the overall at the end of the first hour...
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