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Old 21 May 2024, 09:47 (Ref:4209807)   #1
PascaLM
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The 2024 Annual Le Mans Prediction Thread

Here we go for the Ten-Tenths predictions contest of the 24 Hours le Mans 2024.

Past winners:
2008 - cptkablamo
2009 - PascaLM
2010 - isynge
2011 - Joe Taylor
2012 - Duff_44
2014 - Truckosaurus
2015 - TRspitfirefan
2016 - vincegail
2017 - Babapapa
2018 - bentley03 and joeb
2019 - nasdriv87
2020 - Adam43
2021 - Adam43
2022 - whitemr2
2023 - DistortedSmile

The GTE category has gone, you will have questions about GT3 in addition to the other usual items:
  • Hyperpole time (50 points)
  • The car which signs the hyperpole time (30 points)
  • Podium (120 points)
  • Winner's number of laps (60 points)
  • GT3 pole time (50 points)
  • GT3 pole car (30 points)
  • GT3 winning car (50 points)
NEW : if you don't predict the right number for a car, you can get half of the points by giving its brand.

So you are cordially invited to record your answers to the following :

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
e.g.
3:41.670 Toyota #8
If the track is declared wet during this entire Hyperpole session, we will consider the best lap of all other practice an qualifying sessions.

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
e.g.
1. BMW #15 – 312 laps
2. Alpine #36
3. Toyota #7

3. GT3 pole, time and car
e.g. 3:46.917 Lexus #78

4. GT3 winning car car
e.g. Ferrari #54

Scoring :
Hyperpole pole time :
50 - (12.5 x |pole-prediction|), i.e if you are one second and 512 thousands from the pole, you get 31.1 points.
0 point if |pole-prediction|> 4 seconds
Car : 30 (right number) or 15 (right brand) or 0

Podium : you can have points if you choose a car of the final podium in an other position
 predicted 1stpredicted 2ndpredicted 3rd
winner 60 points 30 points 15 points
2nd 20 points 40 points 20 points
3rd 5 pts 10 points 20 points
(half of the points if you give the right brand)

Winner's laps
60 - ( |laps-prediction|) and 0 point if |laps-prediction|>60 laps

GT3 pole time :
idem Hyperpole pole time and car

GT3 winning car :
50 (number) or 25 (brand) or 0 points

The official results will be those of http://fiawec.alkamelsystems.com

You can criticize this points system or give some suggestions but please after this year results are published.

Please respect some rules :

1. No surplus comments, no funnies, no additions – just your predictions. We will remove anything else that you add !

2. No amendments are permitted unless you can satisfy us that you made a genuine mistake or if one of the cars included in your prediction is withdrawn before race start.

3. Any queries about the competition to PascaLM or Aysedasi by PM please.

4. The competition will close at 9 pm (UK time) on Tuesday 11th June and the thread will be closed too.

N.B. This is just a bit of fun which we do each year and it is not intended to replace or supplant any other regular predictions competition.

Last edited by Aysedasi; 23 May 2024 at 09:50.
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Old 21 May 2024, 09:51 (Ref:4209808)   #2
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RESULTS :

The winner is, for the third time :
Adam43

Podium


_______ _______
_______ _______
_______ _______
Babapapa
Adam43
Truckosaurus
2nd
1st
3rd

Pole Prediction Prize

Babapapa is close to 245ms and predicted the Porsche #6
Prediction 3:24.389
Actual Pole 3:24.634

Podium Prediction Prize

NaBUru38 gave the #50 at first place and #7 at second place

Laps Prediction Prize

With 326 laps, Badlands99 is the closest to the number of laps made by the Ferrari #50 which covered 311 laps

GT3 Pole Prize

With a predicted 3:57.321, Truckosaurus is the closest to the 3:58.120 made by the McLaren #70
Babapapa, Greem, rdjones and GT6 gave McLaren as the right brand.


GT3 winner

Adam43, eps and DistortedSmile gave the Porsche #92 :
pavloslepaul gave the right brand


This contest was much more difficult than previous years, congratulations to all participants.


Points :
MemberHyperpoleCarWinnerLaps2nd3rdGT3 PoleCarGt3 winnerTOTAL
Adam435.112515018301020.2875050148.4
Babapapa46.9375300602025.05150142.9875
Truckosaurus31.112515102610040.012500132.125
eps00301320016.8375050129.8375
Greem006090032.2875150116.2875
NaBUru389.3250600400000109.325
Richard11732.475002130204.162500107.6375
Badlands994.550045201500084.55
DistortedSmile00103020005083
rdjones10.137530017100015082.1375
GT6002021020015076
pavloslepaul3.31251501300002574.3125
Matador15.802090028.8750073.675
whitemr24.43750014302000068.4375
SL2.951503002000067.95
Peter Mallett14150630000065
joeb0002420152.950061.95
clkgtrlm115.45030130000058.45
Gerard C0302080000058
Aysedasi030002006.9750056.975
Hawkwood11.5125300001500056.5125
Pilgrimage0001540000055
J Jay00010201500045
RL1700022002.81250024.8125

24 entries :

MemberHyperpoleCarWinnerLaps2nd3rdGT3 poleCarGT3 winner
clkgtrlm13:21,870Ferrari 51Ferrari 51358Porsche 4Porsche 63:49,980Aston Martin 27Ferrari 54
eps3:20,567Ferrari 50Ferrari 51358Toyota 8Porsche 53:55,467Lamborghini 85Porsche 91
rdjones3.21,445Porsche 6Porsche 6354Ferrari 51Porsche 123.53,457McLaren 59BMW 46
GT63.18,000Ferrari 51Toyota 7350Porsche 6Ferrari 513.52,000McLaren 59Aston Martin 27
Richard1173:23,232Ferrari 50Porsche 6350Ferrari 50Toyota 73:54,453BMW 46Lamborghini 85
joeb3:20,141Ferrari 50Porsche 4347Toyota 8Ferrari 503:54,356Ferrari 54Ferrari 54
Pilgrimage3.18,867Cadillac 311Porsche 6356Toyota 7Porsche 123.51,867Ferrari 86Lamborghini 85
NaBUru383'21,380Ferrari 50Ferrari 50380Toyota 7Porsche 53'51,380Ferrari 54Ferrari 86
Hawkwood3:21,555Porsche 6Porsche 12380Peugeot 93Ferrari 503:51,888Lamborghini 85Aston Martin 27
Matador3.21,898Toyota 7Toyota 7362Peugeot 93Cadillac 3113:56,430BMW 31Aston Martin 27
Truckosaurus3.23,123Porsche 4Toyota 8345Ferrari 51Porsche 123:57,321BMW 31BMW 46
Aysedasi3:19,721Porsche 6Porsche 6382Toyota 8Porsche 383:54,678BMW 31Lamborghini 85
Peter Mallett3:21,754Porsche 38Porsche 4365Ferrari 50Porsche 993:52,538BMW 31Ford 44
DistortedSmile3:20,347Ferrari 50Toyota 8368Porsche 5Ferrari 513:53,566BMW 31Porsche 91
Gerard C3:38,812Porsche 6Toyota 7363Porsche 6Peugeot 934’12,927BMW 31Ferrari 54
Adam433:21,043Porsche 5Porsche 6353Ferrari 50Toyota 83:55,743Lamborghini 85Porsche 91
Badlands993:20,998Ferrari 51Porsche 6326Toyota 8Ferrari 503:44,978BMW 31BMW 46
SL3:20,870Porsche 5Cadillac 2341Porsche 6Ferrari 513:39,750Lamborghini 85Corvette 81
Babapapa3:24,389Porsche 6Porsche 6365Porsche 5Ferrari 513:56,124McLaren 95Ferrari 54
Greem3:18,997Ferrari 51Ferrari 50362Porsche 6Isotta Fraschini 113:56,703McLaren 59McLaren 59
RL173:19,345Cadillac 3Cadillac 3349Porsche 12Cadillac 23:54,345BMW 46Aston Martin 27
whitemr23:20,989Ferrari 50Porsche 6357Ferrari 50Ferrari 513:52,344BMW 31Aston Martin 27
J Jay3:19,436Ferrari 50Porsche 6361Toyota 8Ferrari 503:54,037Porsche 92BMW 46
pavloslepaul3:20,899Porsche 5Porsche 5370Ferrari 50Porsche 123:53,680BMW 31Porsche 92


Last edited by PascaLM; 20 Jun 2024 at 11:24.
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Old 22 May 2024, 15:47 (Ref:4209995)   #3
clkgtrlm1
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clkgtrlm1 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
1/ 3:21,870 Ferrari #51

2/
1. Ferrari #51- 358 Laps
2. Porsche #4
3. Porsche #6

3/ 3:49.980 Aston Martin #27

4/ Ferrari # 54

Last edited by Aysedasi; 23 May 2024 at 09:50.
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Old 23 May 2024, 08:53 (Ref:4210062)   #4
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eps should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
1/ 3:20,567 Ferrari #50

2/
1. Ferrari #51- 358 Laps
2. Toyota #8
3. Porsche #5

3/ 3:55.467 Lamborghini #85

4/ Porsche # 91


I'm useless at these!!!

Last edited by Aysedasi; 23 May 2024 at 09:50.
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Old 3 Jun 2024, 12:40 (Ref:4211660)   #5
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rdjones should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridrdjones should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridrdjones should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridrdjones should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
1. Hyperpole - #6 Penske Porsche 3.21.445

2. Podium :

1. #6 Penske Porsche - 354 laps
2. #51 AF Corse Ferrari
3. #12 Jota Porsche

3. #59 United Autosport McLaren 3.53.457

4. #46 Team WRT BMW

Last edited by PascaLM; 4 Jun 2024 at 11:33.
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Old 4 Jun 2024, 18:47 (Ref:4211836)   #6
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1 hyperpole ferrari 51 3.18.00
2 podium toyota 7 (350 laps), porsche 6 ferrari 51
3 gt pole maclaren 59 3.52.00
4 gt winner Aston 27
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Old 5 Jun 2024, 16:07 (Ref:4211947)   #7
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Richard117 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the gridRichard117 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:23.232 Ferrari #50

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only.
1. Porsche #6 – 350 laps
2. Ferrari #50
3. Toyota #7

3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:54.453 BMW#46

4. GT3 winning car car
Lamborghini #85
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Old 6 Jun 2024, 14:12 (Ref:4212040)   #8
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1) 3:20.141 Ferrari #50

2) Porsche #4 - 347 laps
Toyota #8
Ferrari #50

3) 3:54.356 Ferrari #54

4) Ferrari #54
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Old 7 Jun 2024, 10:00 (Ref:4212146)   #9
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Pilgrimage should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
1. Hyperpole - #311 Whelen Cadillac 3.18.867

2. Podium :

1. #6 Penske Porsche - 356 laps
2. #7 Toyota Gazoo Racing
3. #12 Jota Porsche

3. #86 GR Racing Ferrari 3.51.867

4. #85 Iron Dames Lambo
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Old 7 Jun 2024, 15:10 (Ref:4212199)   #10
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NaBUru38 is going for a new world record!NaBUru38 is going for a new world record!NaBUru38 is going for a new world record!NaBUru38 is going for a new world record!NaBUru38 is going for a new world record!NaBUru38 is going for a new world record!NaBUru38 is going for a new world record!NaBUru38 is going for a new world record!
Hypercar pole: 3'21.380, #50 Ferrari

Hypercar podium:
  1. #50 Ferrari, 380 laps
  2. #7 Toyota
  3. #5 Porsche
GT3 pole: 3'51.380, #54 Ferrari

GT3 winner: #86 Ferrari
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Old 8 Jun 2024, 20:50 (Ref:4212442)   #11
Hawkwood
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Hawkwood should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridHawkwood should be qualifying in the top 5 on the grid
1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:21:555 - Porsche #6

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Porsche #12 - 380 laps
2. Peugeot #93
3. Ferrari #50


3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:51:888 - Lambo #85

4. GT3 winning car car
Aston Martin #27
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Old 9 Jun 2024, 01:43 (Ref:4212469)   #12
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Matador should be qualifying in the top 10 on the gridMatador should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
1. Hyperpole - #7 Toyota 3.21.898

2. Podium :

1. #7 Toyota Gazoo Racing - 362 laps
2. #93 Peugeot
3. #311 Cadillac

3. #31 WRT BMW, 3:56:430

4. #27 Heart of Racing Aston Martin
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Old 9 Jun 2024, 17:51 (Ref:4212685)   #13
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Truckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridTruckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridTruckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridTruckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
HyperPole Time: 3.23.123

HyperPole Car: Porsche 4

Podium:
1 - Toyota 8
2 - Ferrari 51
3 - Porsche 12

Winner Laps: 345

GT3 Pole Time: 3:57.321

GT3 Pole Car: BMW 31

GT3 Winner: BMW 46
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Old 10 Jun 2024, 09:58 (Ref:4212814)   #14
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1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:19.721 - Porsche #6

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Porsche #6 - 382 laps
2. Toyota #8
3. Jota Porsche #38


3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:54:678 - Team WRT BMW #31

4. GT3 winning car car
Iron Dames Lamborghini #85
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Old 10 Jun 2024, 10:28 (Ref:4212821)   #15
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Peter Mallett is the undisputed Champion of the World!Peter Mallett is the undisputed Champion of the World!Peter Mallett is the undisputed Champion of the World!Peter Mallett is the undisputed Champion of the World!Peter Mallett is the undisputed Champion of the World!Peter Mallett is the undisputed Champion of the World!Peter Mallett is the undisputed Champion of the World!Peter Mallett is the undisputed Champion of the World!Peter Mallett is the undisputed Champion of the World!Peter Mallett is the undisputed Champion of the World!Peter Mallett is the undisputed Champion of the World!
1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:21.754 - Porsche #38

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Porsche #4 - 365 laps
2. Ferrari #50
3. Proton Porsche #99

3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:52:538 - Team WRT BMW #31

4. GT3 winning car
Proton Mustang #44
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Old 10 Jun 2024, 11:45 (Ref:4212836)   #16
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DistortedSmile should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridDistortedSmile should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridDistortedSmile should be qualifying in the top 5 on the grid
1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:20.347 - Ferrari #50

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Toyota #8 - 368 laps
2. Porsche #5
3. Ferrari #51

3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:53.566 - BMW #31

4. GT3 winning car
Porsche #91
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Old 10 Jun 2024, 16:25 (Ref:4212877)   #17
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1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3'38"812 Porsche #6

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Toyota #7 363 laps
2. Porsche # 6
3 Peugeot # 93


3. GT3 pole, time and car
4'12"927 WRT BMW #31

4. GT3 winning car car
Ferrari # 54
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Old 10 Jun 2024, 17:51 (Ref:4212898)   #18
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1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:21:043 - Porsche #5

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Porsche #6 - 353 laps
2. Ferrari #50
3. Toyota #8


3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:55.743 - Lambo #85

4. GT3 winning car car
Porsche #91
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Old 10 Jun 2024, 18:17 (Ref:4212903)   #19
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Badlands99 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
1. 3.20.998. Ferrari No 51

2. 1st - Porsche No 6. 326 laps
2nd - Toyota No 8
3rd - Ferrari. No 50

3. 3.44.978 BMW. No 31

4. BMW No 46
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Old 10 Jun 2024, 18:28 (Ref:4212904)   #20
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SL should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
1/ 3:20,870 Porsche # 5

2/
1. Cadillac # 2 341 Laps
2. Porsche #6
3. Ferrari # 51

3/ 3:39.750 Iron Dames # 85

4/ Corvette # 81
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Old 10 Jun 2024, 18:33 (Ref:4212907)   #21
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Babapapa should be qualifying in the top 10 on the gridBabapapa should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:24.389 - Porsche #6

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Porsche #6 - 365 laps
2. Porsche #5
3. Ferrari #51

3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:56:124 - United Autosports #95

4. GT3 winning car car
Vista AF Corse #54
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Old 10 Jun 2024, 19:56 (Ref:4212922)   #22
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1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:18.997 Ferrari #51


2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
e.g.
1. Ferrari #50 – 362 laps
2. Porsche #7
3. Isotta Fraschini #77

3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:56.703 United #59

4. GT3 winning car
United #59
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Old 10 Jun 2024, 20:16 (Ref:4212925)   #23
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RL17 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridRL17 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridRL17 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
1 Cadillac no 3. 3.19.345

2 Cadillac no 3 349
Proton Porsche no 12
Cadillac no 2

3 BMW 46. 3.54.345

4 Heart of Racing no 27
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Old 10 Jun 2024, 20:54 (Ref:4212937)   #24
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whitemr2 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridwhitemr2 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridwhitemr2 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
1: 3.20.989 #50 Ferrari
2: 1 #6Porsche - 357mlaps 2 #50Ferrari, 3 #51Ferrari
3: 3.52.344 #31 BMW
4: #27 Aston Martin

Last edited by Aysedasi; 11 Jun 2024 at 18:56.
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Old 11 Jun 2024, 04:41 (Ref:4212967)   #25
J Jay
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J Jay is going for a new world record!J Jay is going for a new world record!J Jay is going for a new world record!J Jay is going for a new world record!J Jay is going for a new world record!J Jay is going for a new world record!J Jay is going for a new world record!J Jay is going for a new world record!
1) 3:19.436 (Ferrari #50)

2) 1st - Porsche #6 (361 laps)
2nd - Toyota #8
3rd - Ferrari #50

3) 3:54.037 (#92 Porsche)

4) #46 BMW
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