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23 Jul 2021, 22:11 (Ref:4062920) | #1 | ||||||||||||||||||
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The 2021 Annual Le Mans Prediction Thread
Here we go for the Ten-Tenths predictions contest of the 24 Hours of Le Mans 2021.
Past winners: 2008 - cptkablamo 2009 - PascaLM 2010 - isynge 2011 - Joe Taylor 2012 - Duff_44 2014 - Truckosaurus 2015 - TRspitfirefan 2016 - vincegail 2017 - Babapapa 2018 - bentley03 and joeb 2019 - nasdriv87 2020 - Adam43* New this year : No prediction about LMP2 or GTE due to a lack of diversity and novelty (only C8.R). I have slightly BoPed the calculations (yes, a BoP). There is less difference between the maximum numbers of points you can gain in each item : 100 for the pole, 80 for the laps, 120 for the podium. The points distribution is larger. If you are far from the pole or the laps, you get more points than in previous years. 100 points for the exact pole and linearly down to 0 within a delta of 4 seconds. 80 points for the exact laps number down to 0 within a delta of 40 laps (deltas in absolute value). And errr, and, and errr.... the highest speed during the race in mph or kph as you want. 50 points max. So you are cordially invited to record your answers to the following : 1. LMH Hyperpole – time only – to nearest thousandth e.g. 3:41.442 If the track is declared wet during this entire LMH Hyperpole session, we will consider the best lap of all other qualification sessions. 2. Highest speed in the Hunaudières, restaurant, during the race, to nearest tenth e.g. 251.8 mph A radar is usually posted there. The speed will be the WEC's official result. We consider 1 mph = 1.609 kph. 3. Overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only e.g. 1. Oreca #32 – 312 laps 2. Oreca #26 3. Toyota #7 Scoring : pole time : 100 - (25 x |pole-prediction|), i.e if you are one second and 908 thousands from the pole, you get 52.3 points. 0 point if |pole-prediction|> 4 seconds Highest speed : 50 - (2.5 x |speed_kph - prediction|) 0 point if |speed-prediction| > 20 km/h (12.43 mph). You can give your prediction in mph or kph. All speed predictions will be convert in kph for calculation. Podium : you can have points if you choose a car of the final podium in an other position
Winner's laps 80 - (2 x |laps-prediction|) and 0 point if |laps-prediction|>40 laps You can criticize this points system or give some suggestions but please after this year results are published. Please respect some rules : 1. No surplus comments, no funnies, no additions – just your predictions. We will remove anything else that you add ! 2. No amendments are permitted unless you can satisfy us that you made a genuine mistake or if one of the cars included in your prediction is withdrawn before race start. 3. Any queries about the competition to PascaLM or Aysedasi by PM please. 4. The competition will close at 9 pm (UK time) on Tuesday 17th August and the thread will be closed too. 5. Let's thank again Adam43 for having lead a simple and perfect competition last year. N.B. This is just a bit of fun which we do each year and it is not intended to replace or supplant any other regular predictions competition. Last edited by PascaLM; 24 Jul 2021 at 00:00. Reason: * not a proper competition and the result is shrouded in controversy ;) - controversy ? Which controversy ? :-o |
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BoP = egalitarianism |
23 Jul 2021, 22:32 (Ref:4062924) | #2 | ||
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Example
3:43.935
205.2 mph Oreca #82 - 365 laps Oreca #38 Toyota #7 Last edited by PascaLM; 23 Jul 2021 at 23:19. |
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BoP = egalitarianism |
16 Aug 2021, 12:34 (Ref:4067000) | #3 | ||
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ok here goes
Pole time, 3.21,000 Highest speed on Mulsanne 207 mph Winner toyota no 7 391 laps 2nd Glickenhaus 709 3rd Jota 38 |
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16 Aug 2021, 13:02 (Ref:4067006) | #4 | ||
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1. LMH Hyperpole – 3:23.244
2. Highest speed in the Hunaudières - 209.40 mph 3. Overall winner, second and third – 1. Toyota #7 – 384 laps 2. Aurus #26 3. Glickenhaus #708 |
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280 days...... |
16 Aug 2021, 13:17 (Ref:4067011) | #5 | ||
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1. LMH Hyperpole – 3:26.899
2. Highest speed on the Hunaudières - 210.60 mph 3. Overall winner, second and third – 1. Toyota #7 – 390 laps 2. Toyota #8 3. United Autosports #22 |
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16 Aug 2021, 13:31 (Ref:4067017) | #6 | ||
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3:25.147
207.295 mph Toyota #7 - 372 laps Alpine #36 Oreca #22 Last edited by joeb; 16 Aug 2021 at 13:48. |
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16 Aug 2021, 13:47 (Ref:4067019) | #7 | ||
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3:27.200
333.6 km/h Toyota #8 387 "Alpine" #36 Oreca-Gibson #22 |
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BoP = egalitarianism |
16 Aug 2021, 16:09 (Ref:4067039) | #8 | |
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3:25.6
346.8kmh 1. Toyota #7 - 377 laps 2. Toyota #8 3. Alpine #36 Last edited by PascaLM; 16 Aug 2021 at 23:06. |
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16 Aug 2021, 16:56 (Ref:4067052) | #9 | |
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Overall: LMP2 class winner
GTE : #51 AF Corse Ferrari (not betting against Pier Guidi right now) Ayse edit - This needs to be removed or edited as it does not follow the rules. Pascal edit - This will be ignored Last edited by PascaLM; 16 Aug 2021 at 20:43. |
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16 Aug 2021, 17:07 (Ref:4067056) | #10 | |
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3:26.5
340 kmh 1. alpine #36 370 laps 2. united autosport #22 3. toyota #7 |
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16 Aug 2021, 17:47 (Ref:4067066) | #11 | ||
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1.
3:24.444 2. 212.000mph 3. 1. Alpine #36 – 366 laps 2. Glickenhaus #708 3. Aurus #26 |
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16 Aug 2021, 20:09 (Ref:4067086) | #12 | ||
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3:27.666
334.7 km/h Alpine #36 -- 373 laps Oreca-Gibson #41 Aurus-Gibson #26 |
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16 Aug 2021, 21:03 (Ref:4067093) | #13 | ||
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3.27.155
337.2 km/u 1 #7 - 371 laps 2 #708 3 #8 Last edited by PascaLM; 17 Aug 2021 at 05:41. |
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Driving my '95 GT2 winner to Le Mans, again and again and again and again and again.... |
17 Aug 2021, 05:28 (Ref:4067129) | #14 | ||
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Driving my '95 GT2 winner to Le Mans, again and again and again and again and again.... |
16 Aug 2021, 21:44 (Ref:4067098) | #15 | ||
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3:24.663
208.7 mph Toyota #7 - 369 laps Toyota #8 Alpine #36 Last edited by Adam43; 17 Aug 2021 at 00:15. Reason: typo |
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Brum brum |
17 Aug 2021, 06:15 (Ref:4067131) | #16 | |
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3:27.012
341 km/h 1. Alpine 2. Toyota 7 3. Toyota 8 (EDIT - PM sent for number of laps by winner - Ayse). Last edited by Aysedasi; 17 Aug 2021 at 10:09. |
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17 Aug 2021, 11:16 (Ref:4067161) | #17 | ||
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LM Hyperpole
3:24.807 Hunadières Top Speed (Race) 342.5 km/h Overall Podium (& Winning Laps) 1st - #7 Toyota (368 laps) 2nd - #22 Oreca/Gibson 3rd - #36 Alpine |
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BoP is democracy for racing. |
17 Aug 2021, 11:27 (Ref:4067164) | #18 | ||
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LM Hyperpole
3:26:840 Hunadières Top Speed (Race) 334,5 km/h Overall Podium (& Winning Laps) 1st - #7 Toyota (375 laps) 2nd - #8 Toyota 3rd - #23 United Autosports |
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17 Aug 2021, 13:47 (Ref:4067224) | #19 | ||
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LM Hyperpole
3:25:18 344 km/h 1st. Toyota # 7. (373 laps ) 2nd. Toyota #8 3rd. Some lmp2 car |
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17 Aug 2021, 14:35 (Ref:4067248) | #20 | ||
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1. 3:21:00
2. 333.33kmh 3. First - Toyota Nbr 8 - 375 laps 2eme - United Autosports Oreca LMP2 - Nbr 22 III - Glickenhaus Nbr 709 |
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"Not the pronoun but a player with the unlikely name of Who is on first." |
17 Aug 2021, 20:23 (Ref:4067311) | #21 | ||
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Predictions have been entered, the thread is now closed.
I will publish the results on Tuesday. Thank you, enjoy the week. |
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BoP = egalitarianism |
17 Aug 2021, 21:15 (Ref:4067313) | #22 | ||
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As always, many thanks for this Pascal, much appreciated.
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280 days...... |
27 Aug 2021, 09:35 (Ref:4070626) | #23 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The winner is : Adam43 for the second time in a row ! Podium
Pole Prediction Prize Winner :Hawkwood
Podium Prediction Prize Adam43 and TF110 gave the exact final podium Laps Prediction Prize whitemr2 gave the exact number of laps made by the Toyota #7 : 371 Speed Prediction Prize eps gave the closest highest speed
Points :
16 entries :
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BoP = egalitarianism |
27 Aug 2021, 09:46 (Ref:4070630) | #24 | ||
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Well organised Pascal, thank you as always.
Well done too to the winners, and those who got each category correct. As always, I am just relieved not to be last |
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"Not the pronoun but a player with the unlikely name of Who is on first." |
27 Aug 2021, 09:51 (Ref:4070631) | #25 | ||
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Yes thanks for doing the prediction competition again Pascal, just like Guy i am happy not to be last.
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