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21 May 2015, 16:45 (Ref:3539964) | #26 | |||
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We will see a draft by the end of the year, or early next, with finalization coming by June or July next year. To me, it seems, as long as the rules are favorable,(I don't see any massive changes, the rules have been pretty stable for a bit now) I think BMW to LMP will happen. |
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“We’re trying to close the doors without embarrassing ourselves, the France family and embarrassing (the) Grand American Series,” he said in the deposition. “There is no money. There is no purse. There’s nothing.” |
23 May 2015, 04:00 (Ref:3540325) | #27 | ||
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http://tentenths.com/forum/showthrea...50#post3539050
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23 May 2015, 21:39 (Ref:3540495) | #28 | |
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I think about four manufactures is about the right number for the WEC. If any more join especially if it has six or more it means somebody is going to finish bottom of that pile without much to show for it.
The other danger is that manufacturers will start an arms race in their attempts to win the WEC or LeMans and if it gets too expensive they could all leave in numbers like happened in F1 in the late noughties or Group C in the early nineties. |
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25 May 2015, 07:52 (Ref:3540957) | #29 | ||
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25 May 2015, 08:05 (Ref:3540961) | #30 | ||
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Well...that all depends on what the vision is for the WEC. You will never have a F1 rivaling (in terms of popularity) series if one's main focus is on privateer entries.
Don't get me wrong. A well balanced series (similar to what it is now) can become quite popular , but it will somewhat limited in growth. Think of a WEC with 6 or 7 factory programs: The attraction would be enormous. |
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25 May 2015, 08:27 (Ref:3540966) | #31 | |
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Until they all leave and they have to panic to reduce costs to get the privateer teams back in. See F1 right now!
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25 May 2015, 09:08 (Ref:3540980) | #32 | |
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Not sure why people wouldn't want to see BMW.
We seem to be heading towards some sort of cost cap ahead of the new regs. Worrying about grid sizes for 2017 seems a bit premature. As does any of this really given BMW haven't said a word about this programme publicly. But there's no reason to assume that the 2015 grid cap is going to be the same in two years. Sportscar racing is cyclical. F1 will enjoy an upturn in the future. Sportscars will face a downturn at some point. Why deny yourself a blue-chip manufacturer? |
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25 May 2015, 09:18 (Ref:3540983) | #33 | |
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I don't think BMW are a bad thing - they're a fantastic thing. But LMP1 slots either have to be accommodated by new garages and bigger grids, or by the loss of smaller teams. I'd like 20 works LMP1 teams, but only if we don't lose small teams whilst we're at it.
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25 May 2015, 09:28 (Ref:3540989) | #34 | |
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It's all about what's good for the sport and honestly, if accommodating a large-scale manufacturer means losing two more GTE-Am cars, I'm all for it.
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25 May 2015, 09:31 (Ref:3540991) | #35 | ||
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F1's problem are not costs. It is it is trying to correct the many errors it has committed by a reduction in costs. Over regulation and management and strategy mistakes are the main issues driving their problems.
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25 May 2015, 09:49 (Ref:3540994) | #36 | ||
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The WEC would need to perhaps get another plane for freight but that had to be something they'd anticipated as part of a growing series. Privateers are precious like you say but if it means AF Corse enter only four cars instead of six then I don't really mind. |
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25 May 2015, 09:55 (Ref:3540996) | #37 | ||
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Really? You should tell that to the likes of Sauber and Force India because they seem pretty worried about the ever rising costs.
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25 May 2015, 10:14 (Ref:3541001) | #38 | ||
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Is it the rising costs that they are worried about, or the fact that the smaller teams get less compensation than the richer teams? Costs are an issue if your revenue is low. That problem can be solved either through lowering costs or increasing revenue.
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25 May 2015, 10:38 (Ref:3541003) | #39 | ||
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I'm not sure that the comparisons with 98-00 are entirely accurate. That period saw a big manufacturer rush to Le Mans in a very short time, which probably contributed to the bubble bursting. At the moment we have a relatively stable set of factory entries that has increased over a longer period. I don't see as much of an issue with BMW coming to LMP1 because it will take them time to get the program started, which gives time for the ACO to accommodate the extra cars.
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25 May 2015, 11:58 (Ref:3541025) | #40 | |
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We may not need the extra garages if P2 is hit hard when the spec engine regulations come in to play. The spec engine P2s would just be grid filler to me, might as well put Carrera Cup on the grid.
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25 May 2015, 12:11 (Ref:3541026) | #41 | |
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Priveteer teams have always struggled in F1, it has always been a hugely expensive sport to participate in. What happened is that when the financial crisis hit in 2007/2008 a lot of the manufacturers left F1, and after that the sport hasn't done enough to bring them back or attract new ones.
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25 May 2015, 18:59 (Ref:3541145) | #42 | |
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It's kind of funny that the biggest obstacle to growing grids is the semi-artificial grid cap.
Also, on the other hand, the more manufacturers there are, the more there are also left when some of them eventually leave. Now that 3-way overall win battle has become a norm and maybe soon 4-way, going back to two would be a downer. |
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25 May 2015, 19:29 (Ref:3541154) | #43 | |
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There is one way two tier could be better than current four tier. Ferrari vs Porsche
Anyway there isn't really grid limit for current LMP1, it only exists for the other classes. |
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25 May 2015, 19:33 (Ref:3541155) | #44 | |
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Which is why they need to keep costs down before one or two teams spend everyone out of contention. Thats something f1 has a problem with. If the costs are in control you can keep teams around longer imo. They just need to tread carefully so innovation doesnt go stagnant.
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25 May 2015, 19:38 (Ref:3541160) | #45 | ||
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To be in a real stable state, the series needs two non-VAG factories competing because we never know how long the "allowance" of having two makes race each other at VW will list. Right now, we're barely there, especially as it is still looking like Nissan's effort will be short-lived. So at least one more manufacturer is pretty much needed for long-term stability. |
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25 May 2015, 19:38 (Ref:3541161) | #46 | ||
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LMP1 budgets are still far smaller so no need to make knee jerk decisions, like with the circuit alterations. |
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25 May 2015, 20:12 (Ref:3541172) | #47 | |
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Theyre not that much smaller. Maybe for a private team like Kolles or Rebellion. But Audi (maybe Porsche) are north of $150-200million a year. F1 revenue is paltry compared to what the teams spend. Even if they all got an equal share, I think nearly half of it goes to Bernie and friends. The wec, well, does it even have a purse? I wonder if they have a situation where that becomes a talking point. But in reality, manufacturers arent in the wec for prize money. Would that encourage more teams to participate? I think the future is going to be interesting. Hopefully some big rethinks in the rules come about and BMW is among those pushing for that.
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25 May 2015, 20:49 (Ref:3541184) | #48 | |
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Wouldn't say third or even nearly half of the budget is "paltry".
http://www.autosport.com/news/report.php/id/118955 |
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25 May 2015, 21:04 (Ref:3541191) | #49 | ||
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BMW - listen to me - no better place to show the true value of your brand than Le Mans! Show us that 1999 was not a one off!
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25 May 2015, 23:30 (Ref:3541232) | #50 | ||
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