[Official] The 2023 Predictions Contest is on!

[Born Racer]

Welcome to the TenTenths Formula 1 Predictions Contest 2023.

Every Grand Prix, you can make a series of predictions that could make you the winning predictor of that round or indeed lead to you becoming the Formula 1 Predictions Contest World Champion of 2023! That will mean you will also claim this year's coveted TenTenths Formula 1 Predictions Contest world champion's mug.

Here is last year's:


Previous World Champions:

2022 - BTCC frog
2021 - smellysocks
2020 - Born Racer Fan
2019 - smellysocks
2018 - smellysocks
2017 - F1Guy
2016 - Born Racer

There are several rule amendments in 2023, helpfully highlighted in bold.


Rules


All predictions must be in before the start of qualifying. The start is considered to be the start of Q1. Late entries are no longer allowed.

For the final round of the season, predictions must be submitted in secret to another moderator (not me), who will then publish them all after qualifying has started. This avoids the risk of any shadowing strategy in the final round and creates a new dimension.

Here is how points are awarded for your Grand Prix predictions.

A driver in the top 10 more than 5 places out of his finishing position: 1 point per driver

A driver in the top 10, 5 places out of finishing position: 3 points

A driver in the top 10, 4 places out of finishing position: 5 points

A driver in the top 10, 3 places out of finishing position: 7 points

A driver in the top 10, 2 places out of finishing position: 9 points

A driver in the top 10, 1 place out of finishing position: 11 points

A driver in the top 10 in his exact finishing position (except winner): 13 points

The winning driver: 15 points

The finishing positions relate to the official classification after any penalties or disqualifications have been handed out. If this occurs after I calculate the results, this will affect the results later, as and when it occurs.

If a driver is replaced during or before a Grand Prix weekend, his replacement will not score points on his behalf, e.g. if you predict Stroll and he does not compete and is replaced by Drugovich, only predictions for Drugovich will score for Drugovich and predictions for Stroll would not count.

3rd in qualifying: 1 point

2nd in qualifying: 2 points

Pole position: 3 points

The predictions for qualifying must be exact to get the points.

The qualifying points relate to the fastest three drivers in qualifying regardless of any grid penalties carried over from before qualifying.

However, a disqualification from qualifying or a grid penalty due to a breach of the regulations during the qualifying session will be taken into account in my scoring, regardless of what the breach of the regulations is, promoting other drivers to those positions if the results of the qualifying session show that.

Fastest lap (team): 2 points

Fastest pit stop (team): 2 points

Weather prediction: 2 points

Your choices are 'dry', 'mixed' or 'wet'.

'Dry' means that no intermediate or wet tyres are used by anyone during the race.

'Mixed' means that either
* both dry tyres and intermediate tyres are used,
* dry tyres, intermediate tyres and wet tyres are used,
* or both dry tyres and wet tyres are used.

'Wet' means that no dry tyres are used by anyone during the race.

Driver of the day award as voted for on formula1.com: 2 points

Highest-polling driver of the Grand Prix award as voted for on Ten-Tenths: 2 points

Highest-polling team of the Grand Prix award as voted for on Ten-Tenths: 2 points

Highest-polling rate the Grand Prix score out of ten as voted for on Ten-Tenths (with both the mode and mean used): 2 points

We will continue to use the mode and also the results of the mean (rounded up or down as appropriate). For instance, a Grand Prix with a mode score of 9 will continue to award 2 points for predicting a 9, but if the mean is 5.2, 5 will be accepted too for 2 points. If the mean were 5.6, a prediction of 6 would be accepted, but not of 5.

Where there are ties for votes in the polls, competitors will get scored for any joint winners, e.g. if Hamilton and Verstappen are equal, points are awarded for competitors who predicted either of them, and if both a 5 and a 6 tie in the Rate the Grand Prix poll, competitors who predict either of those will score points for the mode.

Regarding the Ten-Tenths votes (Driver of the Grand Prix, Team of the Grand Prix and Rate the Grand Prix), for those who don't know, this is the poll after each Grand Prix which Ten-Tenths users vote on. It is your chance to predict what other members of the forum will vote for!

The Rate the Grand Prix score is from 1-10 and you will find it on the main Formula 1 forum.

The winning votes will be taken to be the winning votes as they stand at 07:00 GMT or BST (Greenwich Mean Time or British Summer Time - whichever is being used) on the Tuesday morning following the Grand Prix, which means that the results of the round will be released after then (the polls themselves, incidentally, will be available for longer). This is with the exception of the Las Vegas Grand Prix, where the results will be taken at 19:00 on the Monday evening GMT following the Grand Prix.

Predictions Contest competitors' votes in the polls are not included in the adding up of poll scores for the purposes of the competition. For example, if Verstappen and Hamilton tie for the Driver of the Grand Prix poll with 13 votes each, but 4 Predictions Contest competitors voted for Verstappen and 3 for Hamilton, this means that for the purposes of the Predictions Contest, Hamilton has won the poll and 2 points are only awarded for a prediction for him.


Dropped Scores


This season, we will be using a dropped score system. The best 18 scores out of the 23 rounds count towards your championship result. This will be calculated as follows:

Your best 3 scores in the 6 rounds with Sprints will be used (including all the score, not just the aspect relating to the Sprint).

Your best 15 scores in rounds without Sprints will also be used.

If fewer than 23 rounds take place, we will continue to use this system. For example, if one round with a sprint is cancelled only, your best 3 out of 5 rounds with Sprints will count.

All this also means that late entries are no longer accepted for any round, including those with Sprints.



Sprints


Rounds with Sprints work differently.

Predictions are made for the top three in qualifying for the Grand Prix, the top eight in the Sprint (the F1 point scorers) and for the usual business for the Grand Prix. All predictions for all three sessions must be in before Friday Sprint qualifying (which you do not predict).

Points are awarded in the same way as normal for qualifying.

For the Sprint itself, it is as follows:

A driver in the top 8 who is 7 places out of his finishing position: 1 point per driver

A driver in the top 8, 6 places out of his finishing position: 2 points

A driver in the top 8, 5 places out of his finishing position: 3 points

A driver in the top 8, 4 places out of his finishing position: 4 points

A driver in the top 8, 3 places out of his finishing position: 5 points

A driver in the top 8, 2 places out of his finishing position: 6 points

A driver in the top 8, 1 place out of his finishing position: 7 points

A driver in the top 8 in his exact finishing position (except winner): 8 points

The winning driver: 9 points

Then, the points are awarded for the top ten in the Grand Prix, as normal.


Other New Rules


Number of finishers: Points are awarded as follows for predicting the following.

1-10 finishers - 25 points
11-15 finishers - 20 points
16-17 finishers - 2 points
18-19 finishers - 2 points
20 finishers - 15 points

Remember, you don't need to say a number of finishers, but choose one of the above categories.

'Finishers' are anyone classified as a finisher.

Average number of pit stops: this will be the mode (the most commonly occuring number per driver, e.g. 1, 2 or 3. This is worth 2 points.


Ties


If there are multiple votes tying for the highest score in the polls, points will be awarded for all which are tying.

In the event of a tie for a round win, the winner will be decided on countback. If a competitor has predicted the Grand Prix winner correctly and the other has not, the winning predictor will be the one who predicted the Grand Prix winner correctly. If those are the same, we look at 2nd place. If a predictor predicted 2nd place correctly and the other did not, the one who predicted it correctly will be awarded the win and so on right down through the top ten.

If that does not decide the win, countback will continue down the qualifying positions from 1st to 3rd and subsequently from the other predictions in the order in which they are presented below when you predict. If all of this still does not result in a winner, the winner will be the ones who predicted first. If predictions have been edited in your post, the earliest predictions of the two predictors will count.

In the event of a tie for a championship win, the overall winner will be the one with the most round wins. If that does not decide it, it will be the one with the most 2nd places, 3rd places, etc. If that does not decide it, we will look at who had the most poles predicted correctly over the season, the most 2nd places in qualifying, etc, right down the list of predictions as they appear below.


Incomplete Grands Prix


Points will be awarded in an identical fashion to the official Formula 1 method:

Quote:
No points will be awarded unless at two racing laps have been completed without safety car or virtual safety car intervention.

If less than 25% of the race distance has been completed when the session is ended, quarter points will be awarded. If between 25% and 50% has been completed, half points will be awarded. And if between 50% and 75% have been completed, three-quarter points will be awarded.
For instance, a correct prediction for the Grand Prix winner would score the competitor 3.75 points instead of the usual 15 in a Grand Prix which ran less than 25% of its normal race distance.

Points are awarded for qualifying in the usual way in these cases and for the polls.


Format


Please write your predictions in the appropriate thread as follows:

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Qualifying
1.
2.
3.

Fastest lap:
Fastest pit stop:
Weather:
formula1.com Driver of the Day:
Driver of the Grand Prix:
Team of the Grand Prix:
Rate the Grand Prix:
Number of finishers:
Number of pit stops:

The format for the Sprint round predictions is as follows:

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Sprint
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.

Qualifying
1.
2.
3.

Fastest lap:
Fastest pit stop:
Weather:
formula1.com Driver of the Day:
Driver of the Grand Prix:
Team of the Grand Prix:
Rate the Grand Prix:
Number of finishers:
Number of pit stops:

Predictions for Bahrain are open now: https://tentenths.com/forum/showthre...52#post4144852 Enjoy the season, TenTenthers!

If you have any queries, please write in the thread to let me know.

[Born Racer]

A clarification following de Vries competing in Monza last year:

If a driver is replaced during or before a Grand Prix weekend, his replacement will not score points on his behalf, e.g. if you predict Stroll and he does not compete and is replaced by Drugovich, only predictions for Drugovich will score for Drugovich and predictions for Stroll would not count.

The rules above have been updated accordingly.