[LM24] Le Mans Weather

[Mal]

So what is it going to do this year - its been 3 years since the last significant rain so it it time?

I have found this long range forecast which takes us up to Wednesday 9th and looks good. But these are notoriously unreliable.

[Fab]

A bit early, but it looks good...

[neiltbag]

Okay, call me a total geek, but I crunched some numbers on a spreadsheet a few weeks ago, looking at all races since 1962. Mathematically this year should be warm but not hot, with the slight chance of a shower or two. In reality, we're close enough now that a long-range forecast can give better details.

The chance of a 2001-style deluge is 3% (once again mathematically speaking).

I'm such a geek...

[Mal]

And I though I was bad searching for the long range forecasts!

[bernard b]

why bother? It WILL be nice, that's all !
and I'm sure of that (that's what I dreamt the other night ...)

[rdjones]

As long as it doesn't rain I will be happy, saying that I have done 2 Le Mans now and I have got a suntan both times.

[Adam43]

Call me daft, but I don't mind a bit of rain. I can take it either way.

The sight of these great cars kicking up the spray is something. I'm not talking about the extremes, obviously, but I find rain does add something. Especially to the atmosphere (bad pun).

However there is the inevitable safety issue. Following a car with modern wets on is unbelievable - it kicks up so much spray it is difficult to see anything. Sometimes you can only just see the 300/200/100m boards and these are your only indication of a corner coming! It requires fantastic concentration.

However I have fond memories of 1995 and 2001 because of the rain.

[Liz]

Mr. Ashmore, obviously you were not spending Le Mans 2001 in a tent.

Having proved that I can survive le deluge in 2001, I have decreed that we will have dry weather from now on.

[simon c]

Originally posted by Fab
A bit early, but it looks good...

erm, look at thursday 10th -what is that symbol over nw france?

[Adam43]

Originally posted by Liz
Mr. Ashmore, obviously you were not spending Le Mans 2001 in a tent.

Having proved that I can survive le deluge in 2001, I have decreed that we will have dry weather from now on.

You are right. Although I was in 1995. Fantastic year, which cemented me as a JJ fan forever...

This year we aren't in a tent (haven't done that for a few years), but if it is raining at midnight expect to find me at Arnage with a huge smile

Also our car tends to leak a little too (although is that sorted for this year - maybe - we ask this every year, but it may be true this year).

If it does rain my friend who works for the press association will be able to tease me as he spends all the time in the media office or the cushey Audi hospitality. As no doubt you will be able to

[SuperDavros]

1995 was my first year - we didn't take a tent.

I think it was 2001 it rained so hard that an impromptu shower, (including shampoo) was possible in the campsite.

Le Mans, no tent - no point! (Until age and wealth take over)

[Adam43]

Originally posted by SuperDavros
(Until age and wealth take over)

I must be too old then.
However, I know what you mean.

[PascaLM]

Originally posted by simon c
erm, look at thursday 10th -what is that symbol over nw france?

I'd translate this as a "cloudy veil", not surprising with temperatures (27 to 30°C).

[Fab]

Originally posted by simon c
erm, look at thursday 10th -what is that symbol over nw france?

He he forcasts are changing each day, and the link is still valid... comments will change again

[Patrick B]

Originally posted by AdamAshmore
Call me daft, but I don't mind a bit of rain. I can take it either way.

I like the rain also, makes for an interesting race. I even looked forward to the rain at Daytona. That was until i had to swim back to the rental car at 1am

[Mal]

Originally posted by Fab
He he forcasts are changing each day, and the link is still valid... comments will change again

And my link shows a completely different picture to yours Fab

[Aysedasi]

Sunny, sunny,hot, hot,
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot,
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot,
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot,
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot,
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot,
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot,
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot,
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot,
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot,
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot,
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot,
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot.


Nuff said.

[iucrmh]

It will need to be because the Pits Grandstand roof is too high to give any protection from the rain (well it wasn't in 2001 anyway).

[Fab]

Originally posted by Aysedasi
Sunny, sunny,hot, hot

This is confirmed by the long range forecasts : sunny, and VERY hot on the spot...

Mind the cream !

[Fab]

Originally posted by Mal
And my link shows a completely different picture to yours Fab

Don't know for yours, but I experimented the one I posted above, they're not too bad for forecasts above France... well, there's still 15 days to go, not easy to make predictions...

[pirenzo]

Somebody in the prediction threads predicted rain
I wondered at the time whether Ayse might break his own rules to post the fact that the member in question was either banned, or in serious danger of it for suggesting such weather

But he didn't.

Those long range forcasts go up to 9th June though don't they?
I bet it rains after that

[Fab]

Originally posted by pirenzo
Those long range forcasts go up to 9th June though don't they? I bet it rains after that

The site mentions the fact that the anticyclone will stay for long after the 9th of June...

[Aysedasi]

Originally posted by pirenzo
Somebody in the prediction threads predicted rain
I wondered at the time whether Ayse might break his own rules to post the fact that the member in question was either banned, or in serious danger of it for suggesting such weather

I noticed p, but bit my tongue........

[Nordic]

Are my ears burning?

The rain won't be heavy, just a couple of short showers when Mr Lehto is in his Audi, with a couple of laps to make up on the leading dallara after a small problem on the one remaining Audi.

[Cadete]

And then of course that Barbosa will excel in the rain and the Dallara will win...