[LM24] The 2024 Annual Le Mans Prediction Thread

[PascaLM]

Here we go for the Ten-Tenths predictions contest of the 24 Hours le Mans 2024.

Past winners:
2008 - cptkablamo
2009 - PascaLM
2010 - isynge
2011 - Joe Taylor
2012 - Duff_44
2014 - Truckosaurus
2015 - TRspitfirefan
2016 - vincegail
2017 - Babapapa
2018 - bentley03 and joeb
2019 - nasdriv87
2020 - Adam43
2021 - Adam43
2022 - whitemr2
2023 - DistortedSmile

The GTE category has gone, you will have questions about GT3 in addition to the other usual items:

• Hyperpole time (50 points)
• The car which signs the hyperpole time (30 points)
• Podium (120 points)
• Winner's number of laps (60 points)
• GT3 pole time (50 points)
• GT3 pole car (30 points)
• GT3 winning car (50 points)

NEW : if you don't predict the right number for a car, you can get half of the points by giving its brand.

So you are cordially invited to record your answers to the following :

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
e.g.
3:41.670 Toyota #8
If the track is declared wet during this entire Hyperpole session, we will consider the best lap of all other practice an qualifying sessions.

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
e.g.
1. BMW #15 – 312 laps
2. Alpine #36
3. Toyota #7

3. GT3 pole, time and car
e.g. 3:46.917 Lexus #78

4. GT3 winning car car
e.g. Ferrari #54

Scoring :
Hyperpole pole time :
50 - (12.5 x |pole-prediction|), i.e if you are one second and 512 thousands from the pole, you get 31.1 points.
0 point if |pole-prediction|> 4 seconds
Car : 30 (right number) or 15 (right brand) or 0

Podium : you can have points if you choose a car of the final podium in an other position

	predicted 1st	predicted 2nd	predicted 3rd
winner	60 points	30 points	15 points
2nd	20 points	40 points	20 points
3rd	5 pts	10 points	20 points

(half of the points if you give the right brand)

Winner's laps
60 - ( |laps-prediction|) and 0 point if |laps-prediction|>60 laps

GT3 pole time :
idem Hyperpole pole time and car

GT3 winning car :
50 (number) or 25 (brand) or 0 points

The official results will be those of http://fiawec.alkamelsystems.com

You can criticize this points system or give some suggestions but please after this year results are published.

Please respect some rules :

1. No surplus comments, no funnies, no additions – just your predictions. We will remove anything else that you add !

2. No amendments are permitted unless you can satisfy us that you made a genuine mistake or if one of the cars included in your prediction is withdrawn before race start.

3. Any queries about the competition to PascaLM or Aysedasi by PM please.

4. The competition will close at 9 pm (UK time) on Tuesday 11th June and the thread will be closed too.

N.B. This is just a bit of fun which we do each year and it is not intended to replace or supplant any other regular predictions competition.

[PascaLM]

RESULTS :

The winner is, for the third time :
Adam43

Podium

_______ _______	_______ _______	_______ _______
Babapapa	Adam43	Truckosaurus
2nd	1st	3rd

Pole Prediction Prize

Babapapa is close to 245ms and predicted the Porsche #6

Prediction	3:24.389
Actual Pole	3:24.634

Podium Prediction Prize

NaBUru38 gave the #50 at first place and #7 at second place

Laps Prediction Prize

With 326 laps, Badlands99 is the closest to the number of laps made by the Ferrari #50 which covered 311 laps

GT3 Pole Prize

With a predicted 3:57.321, Truckosaurus is the closest to the 3:58.120 made by the McLaren #70
Babapapa, Greem, rdjones and GT6 gave McLaren as the right brand.

GT3 winner

Adam43, eps and DistortedSmile gave the Porsche #92 :
pavloslepaul gave the right brand

This contest was much more difficult than previous years, congratulations to all participants.

Points :

Member	Hyperpole	Car	Winner	Laps	2nd	3rd	GT3 Pole	Car	Gt3 winner	TOTAL
Adam43	5.1125	15	0	18	30	10	20.2875	0	50	148.4
Babapapa	46.9375	30	0	6	0	20	25.05	15	0	142.9875
Truckosaurus	31.1125	15	10	26	10	0	40.0125	0	0	132.125
eps	0	0	30	13	20	0	16.8375	0	50	129.8375
Greem	0	0	60	9	0	0	32.2875	15	0	116.2875
NaBUru38	9.325	0	60	0	40	0	0	0	0	109.325
Richard117	32.475	0	0	21	30	20	4.1625	0	0	107.6375
Badlands99	4.55	0	0	45	20	15	0	0	0	84.55
DistortedSmile	0	0	10	3	0	20	0	0	50	83
rdjones	10.1375	30	0	17	10	0	0	15	0	82.1375
GT6	0	0	20	21	0	20	0	15	0	76
pavloslepaul	3.3125	15	0	1	30	0	0	0	25	74.3125
Matador	15.8	0	20	9	0	0	28.875	0	0	73.675
whitemr2	4.4375	0	0	14	30	20	0	0	0	68.4375
SL	2.95	15	0	30	0	20	0	0	0	67.95
Peter Mallett	14	15	0	6	30	0	0	0	0	65
joeb	0	0	0	24	20	15	2.95	0	0	61.95
clkgtrlm1	15.45	0	30	13	0	0	0	0	0	58.45
Gerard C	0	30	20	8	0	0	0	0	0	58
Aysedasi	0	30	0	0	20	0	6.975	0	0	56.975
Hawkwood	11.5125	30	0	0	0	15	0	0	0	56.5125
Pilgrimage	0	0	0	15	40	0	0	0	0	55
J Jay	0	0	0	10	20	15	0	0	0	45
RL17	0	0	0	22	0	0	2.8125	0	0	24.8125

24 entries :

Member	Hyperpole	Car	Winner	Laps	2nd	3rd	GT3 pole	Car	GT3 winner
clkgtrlm1	3:21,870	Ferrari 51	Ferrari 51	358	Porsche 4	Porsche 6	3:49,980	Aston Martin 27	Ferrari 54
eps	3:20,567	Ferrari 50	Ferrari 51	358	Toyota 8	Porsche 5	3:55,467	Lamborghini 85	Porsche 91
rdjones	3.21,445	Porsche 6	Porsche 6	354	Ferrari 51	Porsche 12	3.53,457	McLaren 59	BMW 46
GT6	3.18,000	Ferrari 51	Toyota 7	350	Porsche 6	Ferrari 51	3.52,000	McLaren 59	Aston Martin 27
Richard117	3:23,232	Ferrari 50	Porsche 6	350	Ferrari 50	Toyota 7	3:54,453	BMW 46	Lamborghini 85
joeb	3:20,141	Ferrari 50	Porsche 4	347	Toyota 8	Ferrari 50	3:54,356	Ferrari 54	Ferrari 54
Pilgrimage	3.18,867	Cadillac 311	Porsche 6	356	Toyota 7	Porsche 12	3.51,867	Ferrari 86	Lamborghini 85
NaBUru38	3'21,380	Ferrari 50	Ferrari 50	380	Toyota 7	Porsche 5	3'51,380	Ferrari 54	Ferrari 86
Hawkwood	3:21,555	Porsche 6	Porsche 12	380	Peugeot 93	Ferrari 50	3:51,888	Lamborghini 85	Aston Martin 27
Matador	3.21,898	Toyota 7	Toyota 7	362	Peugeot 93	Cadillac 311	3:56,430	BMW 31	Aston Martin 27
Truckosaurus	3.23,123	Porsche 4	Toyota 8	345	Ferrari 51	Porsche 12	3:57,321	BMW 31	BMW 46
Aysedasi	3:19,721	Porsche 6	Porsche 6	382	Toyota 8	Porsche 38	3:54,678	BMW 31	Lamborghini 85
Peter Mallett	3:21,754	Porsche 38	Porsche 4	365	Ferrari 50	Porsche 99	3:52,538	BMW 31	Ford 44
DistortedSmile	3:20,347	Ferrari 50	Toyota 8	368	Porsche 5	Ferrari 51	3:53,566	BMW 31	Porsche 91
Gerard C	3:38,812	Porsche 6	Toyota 7	363	Porsche 6	Peugeot 93	4’12,927	BMW 31	Ferrari 54
Adam43	3:21,043	Porsche 5	Porsche 6	353	Ferrari 50	Toyota 8	3:55,743	Lamborghini 85	Porsche 91
Badlands99	3:20,998	Ferrari 51	Porsche 6	326	Toyota 8	Ferrari 50	3:44,978	BMW 31	BMW 46
SL	3:20,870	Porsche 5	Cadillac 2	341	Porsche 6	Ferrari 51	3:39,750	Lamborghini 85	Corvette 81
Babapapa	3:24,389	Porsche 6	Porsche 6	365	Porsche 5	Ferrari 51	3:56,124	McLaren 95	Ferrari 54
Greem	3:18,997	Ferrari 51	Ferrari 50	362	Porsche 6	Isotta Fraschini 11	3:56,703	McLaren 59	McLaren 59
RL17	3:19,345	Cadillac 3	Cadillac 3	349	Porsche 12	Cadillac 2	3:54,345	BMW 46	Aston Martin 27
whitemr2	3:20,989	Ferrari 50	Porsche 6	357	Ferrari 50	Ferrari 51	3:52,344	BMW 31	Aston Martin 27
J Jay	3:19,436	Ferrari 50	Porsche 6	361	Toyota 8	Ferrari 50	3:54,037	Porsche 92	BMW 46
pavloslepaul	3:20,899	Porsche 5	Porsche 5	370	Ferrari 50	Porsche 12	3:53,680	BMW 31	Porsche 92

[clkgtrlm1]

1/ 3:21,870 Ferrari #51

2/
1. Ferrari #51- 358 Laps
2. Porsche #4
3. Porsche #6

3/ 3:49.980 Aston Martin #27

4/ Ferrari # 54

[eps]

1/ 3:20,567 Ferrari #50

2/
1. Ferrari #51- 358 Laps
2. Toyota #8
3. Porsche #5

3/ 3:55.467 Lamborghini #85

4/ Porsche # 91


I'm useless at these!!!

[rdjones]

1. Hyperpole - #6 Penske Porsche 3.21.445

2. Podium :

1. #6 Penske Porsche - 354 laps
2. #51 AF Corse Ferrari
3. #12 Jota Porsche

3. #59 United Autosport McLaren 3.53.457

4. #46 Team WRT BMW

[GT6]

1 hyperpole ferrari 51 3.18.00
2 podium toyota 7 (350 laps), porsche 6 ferrari 51
3 gt pole maclaren 59 3.52.00
4 gt winner Aston 27

[Richard117]

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:23.232 Ferrari #50

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only.
1. Porsche #6 – 350 laps
2. Ferrari #50
3. Toyota #7

3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:54.453 BMW#46

4. GT3 winning car car
Lamborghini #85

[joeb]

1) 3:20.141 Ferrari #50

2) Porsche #4 - 347 laps
Toyota #8
Ferrari #50

3) 3:54.356 Ferrari #54

4) Ferrari #54

[Pilgrimage]

1. Hyperpole - #311 Whelen Cadillac 3.18.867

2. Podium :

1. #6 Penske Porsche - 356 laps
2. #7 Toyota Gazoo Racing
3. #12 Jota Porsche

3. #86 GR Racing Ferrari 3.51.867

4. #85 Iron Dames Lambo

[NaBUru38]

Hypercar pole: 3'21.380, #50 Ferrari

Hypercar podium:

1. #50 Ferrari, 380 laps
2. #7 Toyota
3. #5 Porsche

GT3 pole: 3'51.380, #54 Ferrari

GT3 winner: #86 Ferrari

[Hawkwood]

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:21:555 - Porsche #6

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Porsche #12 - 380 laps
2. Peugeot #93
3. Ferrari #50


3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:51:888 - Lambo #85

4. GT3 winning car car
Aston Martin #27

[Matador]

1. Hyperpole - #7 Toyota 3.21.898

2. Podium :

1. #7 Toyota Gazoo Racing - 362 laps
2. #93 Peugeot
3. #311 Cadillac

3. #31 WRT BMW, 3:56:430

4. #27 Heart of Racing Aston Martin

[Truckosaurus]

HyperPole Time: 3.23.123

HyperPole Car: Porsche 4

Podium:
1 - Toyota 8
2 - Ferrari 51
3 - Porsche 12

Winner Laps: 345

GT3 Pole Time: 3:57.321

GT3 Pole Car: BMW 31

GT3 Winner: BMW 46

[Aysedasi]

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:19.721 - Porsche #6

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Porsche #6 - 382 laps
2. Toyota #8
3. Jota Porsche #38


3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:54:678 - Team WRT BMW #31

4. GT3 winning car car
Iron Dames Lamborghini #85

[Peter Mallett]

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:21.754 - Porsche #38

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Porsche #4 - 365 laps
2. Ferrari #50
3. Proton Porsche #99

3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:52:538 - Team WRT BMW #31

4. GT3 winning car
Proton Mustang #44

[DistortedSmile]

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:20.347 - Ferrari #50

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Toyota #8 - 368 laps
2. Porsche #5
3. Ferrari #51

3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:53.566 - BMW #31

4. GT3 winning car
Porsche #91

[Gerard C]

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3'38"812 Porsche #6

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Toyota #7 363 laps
2. Porsche # 6
3 Peugeot # 93


3. GT3 pole, time and car
4'12"927 WRT BMW #31

4. GT3 winning car car
Ferrari # 54

[Adam43]

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:21:043 - Porsche #5

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Porsche #6 - 353 laps
2. Ferrari #50
3. Toyota #8


3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:55.743 - Lambo #85

4. GT3 winning car car
Porsche #91

[Badlands99]

1. 3.20.998. Ferrari No 51

2. 1st - Porsche No 6. 326 laps
2nd - Toyota No 8
3rd - Ferrari. No 50

3. 3.44.978 BMW. No 31

4. BMW No 46

[SL]

1/ 3:20,870 Porsche # 5

2/
1. Cadillac # 2 341 Laps
2. Porsche #6
3. Ferrari # 51

3/ 3:39.750 Iron Dames # 85

4/ Corvette # 81

[Babapapa]

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:24.389 - Porsche #6

2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
1. Porsche #6 - 365 laps
2. Porsche #5
3. Ferrari #51

3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:56:124 - United Autosports #95

4. GT3 winning car car
Vista AF Corse #54

[Greem]

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
3:18.997 Ferrari #51


2. Podium : overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
e.g.
1. Ferrari #50 – 362 laps
2. Porsche #7
3. Isotta Fraschini #77

3. GT3 pole, time and car
3:56.703 United #59

4. GT3 winning car
United #59

[RL17]

1 Cadillac no 3. 3.19.345

2 Cadillac no 3 349
Proton Porsche no 12
Cadillac no 2

3 BMW 46. 3.54.345

4 Heart of Racing no 27

[whitemr2]

1: 3.20.989 #50 Ferrari
2: 1 #6Porsche - 357mlaps 2 #50Ferrari, 3 #51Ferrari
3: 3.52.344 #31 BMW
4: #27 Aston Martin

[J Jay]

1) 3:19.436 (Ferrari #50)

2) 1st - Porsche #6 (361 laps)
2nd - Toyota #8
3rd - Ferrari #50

3) 3:54.037 (#92 Porsche)

4) #46 BMW