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Old 19 May 2023, 15:49 (Ref:4156851)   #1
PascaLM
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The 2023 Annual Le Mans Prediction Thread
Here we go for the Ten-Tenths predictions contest of the 24 Hours le Mans 2023, the centenary race.

Past winners:
2008 - cptkablamo
2009 - PascaLM
2010 - isynge
2011 - Joe Taylor
2012 - Duff_44
2014 - Truckosaurus
2015 - TRspitfirefan
2016 - vincegail
2017 - Babapapa
2018 - bentley03 and joeb
2019 - nasdriv87
2020 - Adam43*
2021 - Adam43
2022 - whitemr2

This year the contest has more items due to many new cars :
  • Hyperpole time (50 points)
  • The car which signs the hyperpole time (20 points)
  • The absolute top speed of all practice and qualifying sessions (30 points)
  • Top speed car (10 points)
  • Podium (120 points)
  • Winner's number of laps (60 points)
  • GTEAM winning car (40 points)
So you are cordially invited to record your answers to the following :

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
e.g.
3:41.488 Toyota #8
If the track is declared wet during this entire Hyperpole session, we will consider the best lap of all other practice an qualifying sessions.

2. Top speed of practice and qualifying sessions (in kph) and the car
e.g.
309.5 kph Glickenhaus #708
(to the tenth, with km=0.621 mile)

3. Overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
e.g.
1. Oreca #32 – 312 laps
2. Oreca #26
3. Toyota #7

4. GTEAM winning car
e.g. Porsche #80

Scoring :
Hyperpole pole time :
50 - (12.5 x |pole-prediction|), i.e if you are one second and 512 thousands from the pole, you get 31.1 points.
0 point if |pole-prediction|> 4 seconds
Car : 20 or 0 points

[UTop speed :[/U]
30 - (1.5 x |topSpeed-prediction|) , i.e if you are 10 kph from the top speed, you get 15 points.
0 point if |topSpeed-prediction|)>20kph
Car : 10 or 0 points

Podium : you can have points if you choose a car of the final podium in an other position
 predicted 1stpredicted 2ndpredicted 3rd
winner 60 points 30 points 15 points
2nd 20 points 40 points 20 points
3rd 5 pts 10 points 20 points

Winner's laps
60 - ( |laps-prediction|) and 0 point if |laps-prediction|>60 laps

GTEAM winning car :
40 or 0 points

The official results will be those of http://fiawec.alkamelsystems.com

You can criticize this points system or give some suggestions but please after this year results are published.

Please respect some rules :

1. No surplus comments, no funnies, no additions – just your predictions. We will remove anything else that you add !

2. No amendments are permitted unless you can satisfy us that you made a genuine mistake or if one of the cars included in your prediction is withdrawn before race start.

3. Any queries about the competition to PascaLM or Aysedasi by PM please.

4. The competition will close at 9 pm (UK time) on Tuesday 6th June and the thread will be closed too.

N.B. This is just a bit of fun which we do each year and it is not intended to replace or supplant any other regular predictions competition.
Last edited by PascaLM; 20 May 2023 at 08:08.
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Old 20 May 2023, 09:39 (Ref:4156904)   #2
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RL17 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridRL17 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridRL17 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
1 Hyperpole

3.22.828 Ferrari #51

2 Top speed practice/qualifying

344.7kph Ferrari #51

3 Podium/laps

1 Cadillac #3 369 laps
2 Jota Porsche #38
3 Cadillac #2

4 GTAM

Aston Vantage #25

Thanks
Last edited by PascaLM; 1 Jun 2023 at 10:13. Reason: Allowed updating after modified BoP on May 31
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Old 22 May 2023, 17:46 (Ref:4157472)   #3
Richard117
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Richard117 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the gridRichard117 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Hyperpole
#50 Ferrari - 3:22.322

Topspeed
#50 Ferrari - 345 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #6 Porsche - 372 Laps
2. #8 Toyota
3. #3 Cadillac

GTE Am Winner
#85 Iron Dames Porsche
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Old 23 May 2023, 16:23 (Ref:4157602)   #4
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philipp should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
prediction cancelled by philipp after BoP changes
Last edited by PascaLM; 16 Jun 2023 at 07:07. Reason: prediction cancelled after BoP changes
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Old 4 Jun 2023, 16:26 (Ref:4159754)   #5
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Hyperpole
7 toyota 3.23.001

Topspeed
Ferrari 50 344kph

Overall
1 7 Toyota 365 laps
2 8 Toyota
3 5 Porsche

GTE
25 Aston
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Old 4 Jun 2023, 16:51 (Ref:4159761)   #6
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philipp should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Quote:
Originally Posted by philipp View Post
Hyperpole
#7 Toyota - 3:21.050

Topspeed
#51 Ferrari - 342 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #8 Toyota - 370 Laps
2. #7 Toyota
3. #50 Ferrari

GTE Am Winner
#33 Corvette Racing
New prediction, after BOP...

#50 Ferrari - 3:23.050

Topspeed
#51 Ferrari - 347 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #8 Toyota - 368 Laps
2. #7 Toyota
3. #50 Ferrari

GTE Am Winner
#33 Corvette Racing
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Old 4 Jun 2023, 19:23 (Ref:4159811)   #7
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joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!
Hyperpole
51 Ferrari - 3:25.654

Topspeed
51 Ferrari - 343 km/h

Overall Podium
1. 7 Toyota - 374 Laps
2. 2 Caddy
3. 708 Glick

GTE Am Winner
33 Corvette
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Old 4 Jun 2023, 19:43 (Ref:4159829)   #8
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Hawkwood should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridHawkwood should be qualifying in the top 5 on the grid
Hyperpole
#50 Ferrari - 3:22.700

Topspeed
#4 Vanwall - 347 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #3 Cadillac - 380 Laps
2. #7 Toyota
3. #51 Ferrari

GTE Am Winner
#85 Iron Dames Porsche
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Old 5 Jun 2023, 02:00 (Ref:4159907)   #9
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DistortedSmile should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridDistortedSmile should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridDistortedSmile should be qualifying in the top 5 on the grid
Hyperpole
#50 Ferrari - 3:20.988

Topspeed
#50 Ferrari - 343 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #8 Toyota - 366 laps
2. #7 Toyota
3. #02 Cadillac

GTE Am Winner
#33 Corvette Racing
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Old 5 Jun 2023, 12:22 (Ref:4160006)   #10
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Truckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridTruckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridTruckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridTruckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
Hyperpole:
51 Ferrari - 3:27:123

Top Speed:
7 Toyota - 343kmh

Podium:
51 Ferrari
6 Porsche
8 Toyota

Laps:
384

GT Winner:
54 Ferrari
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Old 5 Jun 2023, 13:17 (Ref:4160015)   #11
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nobster has a real shot at the podium!nobster has a real shot at the podium!nobster has a real shot at the podium!nobster has a real shot at the podium!
Hyperpole :
#51 Ferrari - 3:22:567

Top speed:
#7 Toyota - 345,38 kmh

Podium:
#3 Cadillac 375 laps
#6 Porsche
#7 Toyota

GT winner:
#33 Corvette
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 00:44 (Ref:4160143)   #12
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Adam43 is the undisputed Champion of the World!Adam43 is the undisputed Champion of the World!Adam43 is the undisputed Champion of the World!Adam43 is the undisputed Champion of the World!Adam43 is the undisputed Champion of the World!Adam43 is the undisputed Champion of the World!Adam43 is the undisputed Champion of the World!Adam43 is the undisputed Champion of the World!Adam43 is the undisputed Champion of the World!Adam43 is the undisputed Champion of the World!Adam43 is the undisputed Champion of the World!
Hyperpole
3:23.786 Ferrari #51

Top Speed
343.4 kph Ferrari #51

Podium
1. Toyota #7 - 376 laps
2. Ferrari #50
3. Porsche #6

GTE winner
Ferrari #83
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 01:35 (Ref:4160147)   #13
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Toyotats03OUS should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Hyperpole
#7Toyota 3:21.245 kamui

Top speed
#7 Toyota 345.6

Podium
#8 Toyota 371 laps
#7 Toyota
#6 Porsche

GTE winner
#21 Ferrari
Last edited by Adam43; 6 Jun 2023 at 11:18. Reason: Laps and GTE added, received by PM.
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 05:14 (Ref:4160155)   #14
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Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!
Hyperpole
#7 Toyota - 3:22.761

Topspeed
#51 Ferrari - 346.23 kph

Overall Podium
1. #7 Toyota - 370 laps
2. #50 Ferrari
3. #6 Porsche

GTE Am Winner
#54 Ferrari
Last edited by Aysedasi; 6 Jun 2023 at 19:16.
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 12:24 (Ref:4160203)   #15
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Badlands99 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Hyperpole
Toyota No 7

Top speed
Ferrari No 51 347.8kph

Podium
Toyota No 7 379 laps
Ferrari No 50
Porsche No 6

GT Winner
Corvette No 33
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 12:31 (Ref:4160208)   #16
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C6R Racing Fan should be qualifying in the top 10 on the gridC6R Racing Fan should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Hyperpole
#7 Toyota - 3:23.070

Topspeed
#51 Ferrari - 344.41 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #7 Toyota - 378 Laps
2. #3 Cadillac
3. #708 Glickenhaus

GTE Am Winner
#77 Porsche RSR
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 12:45 (Ref:4160210)   #17
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1. Hyperpole
3:23.169 Ferrari #51

2. Top speed of practice and qualifying sessions (in kph) and the car
344.8 kph Ferrari #51

3. Overall winner, second and third
1. Toyota #7 – 374 laps
2. Toyota #8
3. Porsche #6

4. GTEAM winning car
Corvette #33
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 13:39 (Ref:4160215)   #18
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rdjones should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridrdjones should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridrdjones should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridrdjones should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
1. Hyperpole
#51 3.24.441

2. Top speed of practice and qualifying sessions (in kph) and the car
#51 348.42kph

3. Overall winner, second and third
1. # 6 Porsche Penske Racing 384 laps
2. # 7 Toyota Gazoo Racing
3. #2 Cadillac Racing

4. GTEAM winning car - #33 Corvette Racing
Last edited by PascaLM; 6 Jun 2023 at 20:22. Reason: laps were missing
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 18:36 (Ref:4160271)   #19
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hyperpole :
3'21''450 - Ferrari #51

Top speed :
343 km/h - Ferrari #50

Podium :
Toyota #7 - 355 laps
Cadillac #2
Ferrari #50

GTEAM winner :
Ferrari #83
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 18:39 (Ref:4160272)   #20
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whitemr2 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridwhitemr2 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridwhitemr2 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
1. Hyperpole #51 Ferrari time 3.23.006
2. #51 Ferrari topspeed 344km/h
3 Overall winner #8 Toyota 370 laps
second # 7 Toyota
thirth #3 Caddilac
4. GTEAM winner #33 Corvette
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 19:21 (Ref:4160281)   #21
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Koenigsegg should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Hyperpole
#7 Toyota Gazoo Racing - 3:22.879

Topspeed
#51 Ferrari AF Corse - 344.4 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #7 Toyota Gazoo Racing - 372 Laps
2. #3 Cadillac Racing
3. #6 Porsche Penske Motorsport

GTE Am Winner
#33 Corvette Racing
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Old 16 Jun 2023, 13:01 (Ref:4163992)   #22
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The winner is :
DistortedSmile

Podium


_______ _______
_______ _______
_______ _______
philipp
DistortedSmile
crmalcolm
2nd
1st
3rd

Pole Prediction Prize

Winner : GT6
Prediction 3:23.001
Actual Pole 3:22.982

Topspeed Prediction Prize

Adam43 gave the exact top speed made during all practice and qualifying sessions : 343.4 km/h

Podium Prediction Prize

Truckosaurus gave the #51 at first place and #8 at third place

Laps Prediction Prize

PascaLM is the closest to the number of laps made by the Ferrari #51 which covered 342 laps : 355

LMP2 winning GTEAm

Nine players out of 19 gave the Corvette 33



Points :
MemberHyperpoleCarTopspeedCarWinnerLaps2nd Place3rd PlaceGTEAm winnerTOTAL
DistortedSmile25,082029,410203602040200,48
philipp49,152024,6020340040187,75
crmalcolm47,66027,9002840040183,56
whitemr249,7029,1020320040170,8
Richard11741,752027,6100304000169,35
GT649,76029,1100374000165,86
Koenigsegg48,71028,500300040147,21
nobster44,8102700270040138,81
rdjones31,76022,5001802040132,26
RL1748,08028,0500330200129,13
Hawkwood46,472024,600220150128,08
Truckosaurus0029,4060180200127,4
PascaLM30,85029,4100471000127,25
joeb16,6029,4002810040124
Toyotats03OUS28,29026,702031000105,99
Aysedasi46,74025,80032000104,54
C6R Racing Fan48,9028,50024000101,4
Adam4339,95030002600095,95
Badlands990023,40023004086,4

19 entries :

MemberHyperpoleCarTopspeedCarWinning CarLaps2nd Place3rd PlaceWinning car in GTEAm
Adam433:23,786Ferrari 51343,4Ferrari 51Toyota 7376Ferrari 50Porsche 6Ferrari 83
Aysedasi3:22,721Toyota 7346,2Ferrari 51Toyota 7370Ferrari 50Porsche 6Ferrari 54
Badlands990:00,000Toyota 7347,8Ferrari 51Toyota 7379Ferrari 50Porsche 6Corvette 33
C6R Racing Fan3:23,070Toyota 7344,4Ferrari 51Toyota 7378Cadillac 3Glickenhaus 708Porsche 77
crmalcolm3:23,169Ferrari 51344,8Ferrari 51Toyota 7374Toyota 8Porsche 6Corvette 33
DistortedSmile3:20,988Ferrari 50343Ferrari 50Toyota 8366Toyota 7Cadillac 2Corvette 33
GT63:23,001Toyota 7344Ferrari 50Toyota 7365Toyota 8Porsche 5Aston Martin 25
Hawkwood3:22,700Ferrari 50347Vanwall 4Cadilllac 3380Toyota 7Ferrari 51Porsche 85
joeb3:25,654Ferrari 51343Ferrari 51Toyota 7374Cadillac 2Glickenhaus 708Corvette 33
Koenigsegg3:22,879Toyota 7344,4Ferrari 51Toyota 7372Cadillac 3Porsche 6Corvette 33
nobster3:22,567Ferrari 51345,4Toyota 7Cadilllac 3375Porsche 6Toyota 7Corvette 33
PascaLM3:21,450Ferrari 51343Ferrari 50Toyota 7355Cadillac 2Ferrari 50Ferrari 83
philipp3:23,050Ferrari 50347Ferrari 51Toyota 8368Toyota 7Ferrari 50Corvette 33
rdjones3:24,441Ferrari 51348,4Ferrari 51Porsche 6384Toyota 7Cadillac 2Corvette 33
Richard1173:22.322Ferrari 50345Ferrari 50Porsche 6372Toyota 8Cadillac 3Porsche 85
RL173,22,828Ferrari 51344,7Ferrari 51Cadilllac 3369Porsche 38Cadillac 2Aston Martin 25
Toyotats03OUS3:21.245Toyota 7345,6Toyota 7Toyota 8371Toyota 7Porsche 6Ferrari 21
Truckosaurus3:27,123Ferrari 51343Toyota 7Ferrari 51384Porsche 6Toyota 8Ferrari 54
whitemr23:23,006Ferrari 51344Ferrari 51Toyota 8370Toyota 7Cadillac 3Corvette 33
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Old 16 Jun 2023, 13:47 (Ref:4163996)   #23
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GT6 is going for a new world record!GT6 is going for a new world record!GT6 is going for a new world record!GT6 is going for a new world record!GT6 is going for a new world record!GT6 is going for a new world record!GT6 is going for a new world record!
hey i actually won something even if it wa only pole time prediction

Thanks for doing the competition pascual
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Old 16 Jun 2023, 13:49 (Ref:4163997)   #24
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joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!
Thanks again for putting this contest together!

It was a tough race to make predictions on this year - but that made it all the more fun!
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Old 16 Jun 2023, 14:43 (Ref:4164003)   #25
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Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!Aysedasi is the undisputed Champion of the World!
16th out of 19 entries - that's about the par for the course for me! Big thanks to you Pascal for running this once again!
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[LM24 Race] The 2017 Annual Le Mans Prediction Thread (Winner Now Announced) PascaLM 24 Heures du Mans 38 13 Jun 2018 09:28
[LM24 Race] The 2016 Annual Le Mans Prediction Thread (Result) PascaLM 24 Heures du Mans 47 4 Jun 2018 10:34
[LM24 Race] The 2015 Annual Le Mans Prediction Thread PascaLM 24 Heures du Mans 46 20 Jun 2015 00:19
[LM24 Race] The 2014 Annual Le Mans Prediction Thread PascaLM 24 Heures du Mans 74 29 Jun 2014 22:12
[LM24 Race] The Annual Le Mans Prediction Thread - Winner - Duff_44! Aysedasi 24 Heures du Mans 65 26 Jun 2012 17:47


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